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Intel Corporation — Beer Score

INTC · US Equity · Tech — Semiconductors
$22.50
Market Price (indicative) · Feb 7, 2026
+$0.60 (+2.74%) today
Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.
78
/ 100
Mostly Beer — Est. 78% Fundamental Value
Updated: Feb 7, 2026 16:30 UTC·Filing: 10-K (Jan 29, 2026)·Model: DCF v1.0
Not investment advice · Model-based estimate
Estimated Value (Beer)
$17.55
78%
Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)
$4.95
22%
🍺 78% Est. Fundamental Value🫧 22% Est. Speculation
Track Score Alerts (Pro) See Model Assumptions ↓

Key Financials

TTM
Revenue$54.2B
Net Income$-1.6B
Free Cash Flow$0.8B
P/E RatioN/A
EPS (TTM)$-0.38
Market Cap$96B
Total Debt$49.3B
Cash & Equiv.$21.0B

DCF Valuation

Model Estimate
$17
Est. intrinsic value (DCF model)
vs $22.50 market price
Our model suggests the current price is ~28% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.
WACC10.0%
Growth Rate (5yr)8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Margin of Safety~−28%

Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth, margins). This is not a price target or investment recommendation.

Score History — 90 Days

Pro
90d Low
73
90d High
80
Zone Changes
3

Intel Stock Valuation — Beer Score Breakdown

Intel's Beer Score of 78 means that, according to our DCF model, the stock is well-supported by fundamentals. An estimated 78% of the stock price is backed by earnings, cash flow, and assets.

How Beer Score Is Calculated for INTC

We pull Intel's latest SEC filings from EDGAR, run a DCF analysis using a 10.0% WACC and 8% revenue growth rate over 5 years with 2.5% terminal growth, then compare the resulting model estimate ($17) against the current market price ($22.50). The Beer Score of 78 represents the ratio. Model output varies with assumptions. Learn more about our methodology →

Important Information

Beer Score is an educational indicator, not investment advice. It measures the model-estimated gap between a stock's current market price and an estimated intrinsic value derived from public financial data. A low Beer Score does not mean "sell" and a high score does not mean "buy." Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth rate, terminal growth, margins).

Prices shown are indicative reference prices for educational purposes only and are not sourced from an official exchange feed. Data sources include SEC EDGAR filings, indicative market price data, and proprietary DCF models. Scores update daily after market close. For the full ranking of all 45 stocks, visit the Beer Score Heatmap or read Today's Foam Report.

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About This Valuation

Why does Intel have a Beer Score of 36?
Intel (INTC) scores 36 because the stock is currently trading approximately 175% above its estimated intrinsic value of $17. With $0.8B in annual free cash flow and $54.2B in revenue, the company's fundamentals fall well short of justifying the current market price of $46.79 per share. The Beer Score reflects that 36% of the price is backed by estimated fundamental value.
Is INTC overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our DCF model, Intel appears significantly overvalued. The estimated intrinsic value of $17 compared to the current price of $46.79 carries a 64% speculation premium, meaning most of the stock price reflects expectations rather than current earnings. This is a model-based estimate using 10.0% WACC and 8% projected growth — not a buy or sell recommendation. The actual fair value depends on assumptions that may change with new earnings data or market conditions.
What assumptions drive the $17 intrinsic value?
The DCF model uses a 10.0% weighted average cost of capital and projects 8% annual revenue growth over five years. Terminal growth is set at 2.5%. Starting from $0.8B in current free cash flow, these assumptions produce an estimated intrinsic value of $17 per share. The model is most sensitive to the growth rate and WACC inputs — small changes in either significantly alter the output.
What could change Intel's Beer Score?
Intel's turnaround is the most uncertain bet in semiconductors. The foundry services buildout requires tens of billions in capex with unproven execution. Losing Apple, then facing AMD competition in data center, has eroded market share to historic lows. Government CHIPS Act subsidies help, but Intel must simultaneously fix manufacturing, design, and foundry — an unprecedented challenge.

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