What is Disney's Beer Score?

Disney (DIS) has a Beer Score of 69 out of 100. Our DCF model estimates 69% of the stock price is supported by current fundamentals. The remaining 31% represents an estimated speculation or growth premium.

How is Disney's Beer Score calculated?

Disney's Beer Score uses SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q), a DCF model with weighted average cost of capital, and comparison of the model's estimate to current market price. Model output varies with assumptions. Scores update daily after market close.

DIS

The Walt Disney Company — Beer Score

DIS · US Equity · Consumer — Media & Entertainment

$112.00

Market Price (indicative) · Feb 7, 2026

+$0.90 (+0.81%) today

Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.

/ 100

Mixed — Est. 69% Fundamental Value

Updated: Feb 7, 2026 16:30 UTC·Filing: 10-Q (Nov 4, 2025)·Model: DCF v1.0

Not investment advice · Model-based estimate

Estimated Value (Beer)

$77.28

69%

Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)

$34.72

31%

🍺 69% Est. Fundamental Value🫧 31% Est. Speculation

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Key Financials

TTM

Revenue$88.9B

Net Income$4.0B

Free Cash Flow$6.2B

P/E Ratio51.2x

EPS (TTM)$2.19

Market Cap$204B

Total Debt$42.1B

Cash & Equiv.$6.0B

DCF Valuation

Model Estimate

$77

Est. intrinsic value (DCF model)
vs $112.00 market price

↓

Our model suggests the current price is ~45% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.

WACC9.0%

Growth Rate (5yr)7%

Terminal Growth3%

Margin of Safety~−45%

Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth, margins). This is not a price target or investment recommendation.

Score History — 90 Days

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Disney Stock Valuation — Beer Score Breakdown

Disney's Beer Score of 69 means that, according to our DCF model, the stock shows a mix of fundamental support and growth premium. Our model estimates 69% is backed by fundamentals, with 31% representing speculation.

How Beer Score Is Calculated for DIS

We pull Disney's latest SEC filings from EDGAR, run a DCF analysis using a 9.0% WACC and 7% revenue growth rate over 5 years with 3% terminal growth, then compare the resulting model estimate ($77) against the current market price ($112.00). The Beer Score of 69 represents the ratio. Model output varies with assumptions. Learn more about our methodology →

Important Information

Beer Score is an educational indicator, not investment advice. It measures the model-estimated gap between a stock's current market price and an estimated intrinsic value derived from public financial data. A low Beer Score does not mean "sell" and a high score does not mean "buy." Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth rate, terminal growth, margins).

Prices shown are indicative reference prices for educational purposes only and are not sourced from an official exchange feed. Data sources include SEC EDGAR filings, indicative market price data, and proprietary DCF models. Scores update daily after market close. For the full ranking of all 45 stocks, visit the Beer Score Heatmap or read Today's Foam Report.

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About This Valuation

Why does Disney have a Beer Score of 73?

Disney (DIS) scores 73 because the stock is currently trading roughly 37% above its estimated intrinsic value of $77. With $6.2B in annual free cash flow and $88.9B in revenue, the company's fundamentals more than support the current market price of $105.45 per share. The Beer Score reflects that 73% of the price is backed by estimated fundamental value.

Is DIS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on our DCF model, Disney appears moderately overvalued. The estimated intrinsic value of $77 compared to the current price of $105.45 carries a 27% speculation premium. This is a model-based estimate using 9.0% WACC and 7% projected growth — not a buy or sell recommendation. The actual fair value depends on assumptions that may change with new earnings data or market conditions.

What assumptions drive the $77 intrinsic value?

The DCF model uses a 9.0% weighted average cost of capital and projects 7% annual revenue growth over five years. Terminal growth is set at 3%. Starting from $6.2B in current free cash flow, these assumptions produce an estimated intrinsic value of $77 per share. The model is most sensitive to the growth rate and WACC inputs — small changes in either significantly alter the output.

What could change Disney's Beer Score?

Disney's score hinges on streaming profitability. Disney+ reaching sustained profitability would validate the thesis and could push intrinsic value higher. However, cord-cutting pressure on ESPN and linear TV continues to erode high-margin cable revenue. Theme park demand is cyclical and sensitive to consumer discretionary spending, making the recovery fragile.

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