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META

Meta Platforms Inc. — Beer Score

META · US Equity · Tech — Social Media & AI
$620.00
Market Price (indicative) · Feb 8, 2026
↓ Price vs intrinsic
Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.
45
/ 100
Getting Foamy — Est. 55% Speculation
Updated: Feb 8, 2026 16:30 UTC · Filing: 10-K (Jan 2026) · Model: DCF v1.0
Not investment advice · Model-based estimate
Estimated Value (Beer)
$280.00
45%
Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)
$340.00
55%
🍺 45% Est. Fundamental Value 🫧 55% Est. Speculation
Track Score Alerts (Pro) See Model Assumptions ↓

Key Financials

TTM
Revenue$165B
Net Income$55B
Free Cash Flow$42B
P/E Ratio25.0x
EPS (TTM)$21.50
Market Cap$1.6T
Total Debt$37B
Cash & Equiv.$44B

DCF Valuation

Model Estimate
$280
Est. intrinsic value (DCF model)
vs $620 market price
Our model suggests the current price is ~121% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.
WACC10.5%
Growth Rate (5yr)15%
Terminal Growth3%
Margin of Safety-121%

Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth, margins). This is not a price target or investment recommendation.

Score History — 90 Days

Pro
90d Low
30
90d High
57
Zone Changes
2

Meta Platforms Inc. Stock Valuation Analysis — Beer Score Breakdown

Meta Platforms Inc.'s Beer Score of 45 means that, according to our DCF model, less than half of its current $620 stock price is supported by the company's existing fundamentals — revenue, earnings, free cash flow, and assets. The remaining 55% represents an estimated premium the market places on future growth expectations.

Investors buying at this level are betting that future earnings will grow fast enough to close the gap between price and our model estimated intrinsic value.

How Beer Score Is Calculated for META

We pull Meta Platforms Inc.'s latest 10-K and 10-Q filings from SEC EDGAR, run a DCF analysis using a 10.5% WACC and 15% revenue growth rate over 5 years with 3% terminal growth, then compare the resulting model estimate ($280) against the current market price ($620). The Beer Score of 45 represents the ratio: $280 ÷ $620 = 45%. Model output varies with assumptions. Learn more about our methodology →

Important Information

Beer Score is an educational indicator, not investment advice. It measures the model-estimated gap between a stock's current market price and an estimated intrinsic value derived from public financial data. A low Beer Score does not mean "sell" and a high score does not mean "buy." Past Beer Score patterns do not predict future price movements. Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth rate, terminal growth, margins).

Prices shown are indicative reference prices for educational purposes only and are not sourced from an official exchange feed. Data sources include SEC EDGAR filings (10-K and 10-Q), indicative market price data, and proprietary DCF models. Scores update daily after market close. For the full ranking of all stocks, visit the Beer Score Heatmap or read Today's Foam Report.

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About This Valuation

Why does Meta Platforms Inc. have a Beer Score of 44?
Meta Platforms Inc. (META) scores 44 because the stock is currently trading approximately 128% above its estimated intrinsic value of $280. With $42B in annual free cash flow and $165B in revenue, the company's fundamentals partially justify the current market price of $639.77 per share. The Beer Score reflects that 44% of the price is backed by estimated fundamental value.
Is META overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our DCF model, Meta Platforms Inc. appears significantly overvalued. The estimated intrinsic value of $280 compared to the current price of $639.77 carries a 56% speculation premium, meaning most of the stock price reflects expectations rather than current earnings. This is a model-based estimate using 10.5% WACC and 15% projected growth — not a buy or sell recommendation. The actual fair value depends on assumptions that may change with new earnings data or market conditions.
What assumptions drive the $280 intrinsic value?
The DCF model uses a 10.5% weighted average cost of capital and projects 15% annual revenue growth over five years. Terminal growth is set at 3%. Starting from $42B in current free cash flow, these assumptions produce an estimated intrinsic value of $280 per share. The model is most sensitive to the growth rate and WACC inputs — small changes in either significantly alter the output.
What could change Meta Platforms Inc.'s Beer Score?
Meta's score reflects heavy Reality Labs spending on metaverse hardware with uncertain ROI. AI infrastructure capex is also accelerating. If Reels monetization narrows the TikTok engagement gap and AI-powered advertising improves conversion rates, revenue could outpace spending. However, regulatory headwinds in the EU on data privacy and potential US TikTok ban resolution add uncertainty.

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