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MSFT

Microsoft Corp.

MSFT · US Equity · Tech — Cloud & Software
$555.80
Published 2026-11-04T22:01:21.323358+00:00; quote observed 2026-11-04
Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.
78
/ 100
Good Pour
29% above our model estimate
Dated published Foam Engine model · Published 2026-11-04T22:01:21.323358+00:00; quote observed 2026-11-04
Not investment advice · Model-based estimate
Price backed by model (Beer)
$431.49
78%
Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)
$124.31
22%
🍺 78% Est. Fundamental Value 🫧 22% Est. Speculation
Track Score Alerts (Coming Soon) See Model Assumptions ↓

Key Financials

Filed data
Revenue$331,839,000,000.00
Net Income$133,749,000,000.00
Free Cash Flow$66,987,000,000.00
EPS (filed period)$18.01
Total DebtUnavailable
Cash & Equivalents$20,935,000,000.00
Market Cap$4,127,478,775,808.00

Period: 2026-07-23 · Filed: 2026-07-29

Valuation Estimate

Dated published Foam Engine model
$431.49
vs $555.80 market price

Dated model valuation from the published Foam Engine export. Filing lineage and quote observation times have not been independently attested. This estimate depends on its assumptions and is not a price target.

Discount Rate10.0%
Growth Rate8.0%
Terminal Multiple15.0×

Published snapshot: 2026-11-04T22:01:21.323358+00:00. Quote observed: 2026-11-04; valuation and filing dates may differ. See methodology.

↓
Our model suggests the current price is ~29% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.

MSFT Stock Valuation and Beer Score

What is MSFT’s Beer Score?

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) has a published Beer Score of 78/100 at $555.80, against a valuation estimate of $431.49 per share.

How should I interpret this estimate?

Beer Score is the valuation-to-price ratio, capped at 100. A score of 100 does not measure investment safety or predict returns. Dated model valuation from the published Foam Engine export. Filing lineage and quote observation times have not been independently attested. This estimate depends on its assumptions and is not a price target.

Read the methodology and limitations before interpreting the estimate.

Published Score History

28 actual published observations, 2026-09-28 to 2026-11-04. Observation dates may have gaps. Lines connect observations; no intermediate scores are inferred.

Actual published observations
Date (UTC)ScorePriceValuationSource
2026-11-0478$555.80$431.49foam_db
2026-11-0383$520.99$431.49foam_db
2026-11-0285$507.12$431.49foam_db
2026-10-3083$521.91$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2981$530.14$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2881$531.01$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2781$531.33$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2681$532.60$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2382$524.51$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2283$521.08$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2181$532.95$431.49foam_db
2026-10-2081$531.87$431.49foam_db
2026-10-1982$529.05$431.49foam_db
2026-10-1682$529.05$431.49foam_db
2026-10-1580$539.44$431.49foam_db
2026-10-1481$533.69$431.49foam_db
2026-10-1379$543.45$431.49foam_db
2026-10-1280$541.15$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0981$535.07$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0883$522.61$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0781$529.76$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0682$529.30$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0582$525.18$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0283$517.53$431.49foam_db
2026-10-0184$512.80$431.49foam_db
2026-09-3084$512.90$431.49foam_db
2026-09-2985$508.96$431.49foam_db
2026-09-2885$509.22$431.49foam_db

Model Sensitivity and Reverse DCF

Recomputed from the disclosed owner-earnings model. Annual normalized base: $173.9566 billion; shares: 7,425,545,491; input period: 2026-07-23. Five projected annual flows plus a 15.0× terminal multiple; no net cash adjustment. The base scenario reproduces the published valuation within one cent.

Estimated value per share
Discount / Growth6.0% growth8.0% growth10.0% growth
9.0% discount$413.44$449.52$488.22
10.0% discount$396.95$431.49$468.54
11.0% discount$381.30$414.39$449.86

Growth Implied by the Published Price

The published price implies 14.23% annual owner-earnings growth for five years, holding the 10.0% discount rate and 15.0× terminal multiple fixed.

These are conditional model scenarios, not forecasts.