Skip to main content
Home Report Heatmap Pricing Get Started
Home / Heatmap / AMZN
AMZN

Amazon.com Inc. — Beer Score

AMZN · US Equity · Tech — E-Commerce & Cloud
$215.00
Market Price (indicative) · Feb 8, 2026
↓ Price vs intrinsic
Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.
53
/ 100
Getting Foamy — Est. 47% Speculation
Updated: Feb 8, 2026 16:30 UTC · Filing: 10-K (Jan 2026) · Model: DCF v1.0
Not investment advice · Model-based estimate
Estimated Value (Beer)
$115.00
53%
Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)
$100.00
47%
🍺 53% Est. Fundamental Value 🫧 47% Est. Speculation
Track Score Alerts (Pro) See Model Assumptions ↓

Key Financials

TTM
Revenue$638B
Net Income$50B
Free Cash Flow$55B
P/E Ratio45.0x
EPS (TTM)$4.75
Market Cap$2.3T
Total Debt$68B
Cash & Equiv.$78B

DCF Valuation

Model Estimate
$115
Est. intrinsic value (DCF model)
vs $215 market price
↓
Our model suggests the current price is ~87% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.
WACC10.0%
Growth Rate (5yr)18%
Terminal Growth3%
Margin of Safety-87%

Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth, margins). This is not a price target or investment recommendation.

Score History — 90 Days

Pro
90d Low
38
90d High
65
Zone Changes
2
▸_
Unlock Full Score History Alerts · Chart export · Peer compare

Amazon.com Inc. Stock Valuation Analysis — Beer Score Breakdown

Amazon.com Inc.'s Beer Score of 53 means that, according to our DCF model, more than half of its current $215 stock price is supported by the company's existing fundamentals — revenue, earnings, free cash flow, and assets. The remaining 47% represents an estimated premium the market places on future growth expectations.

Investors buying at this level are betting that future earnings will grow fast enough to close the gap between price and our model estimated intrinsic value.

How Beer Score Is Calculated for AMZN

We pull Amazon.com Inc.'s latest 10-K and 10-Q filings from SEC EDGAR, run a DCF analysis using a 10.0% WACC and 18% revenue growth rate over 5 years with 3% terminal growth, then compare the resulting model estimate ($115) against the current market price ($215). The Beer Score of 53 represents the ratio: $115 ÷ $215 = 53%. Model output varies with assumptions. Learn more about our methodology →

Important Information

Beer Score is an educational indicator, not investment advice. It measures the model-estimated gap between a stock's current market price and an estimated intrinsic value derived from public financial data. A low Beer Score does not mean "sell" and a high score does not mean "buy." Past Beer Score patterns do not predict future price movements. Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth rate, terminal growth, margins).

Prices shown are indicative reference prices for educational purposes only and are not sourced from an official exchange feed. Data sources include SEC EDGAR filings (10-K and 10-Q), indicative market price data, and proprietary DCF models. Scores update daily after market close. For the full ranking of all stocks, visit the Beer Score Heatmap or read Today's Foam Report.

Track AMZN's Beer Score Over Time

Get daily score changes, alerts when foam levels shift, and full history charts with Pro.

See Pro Plans → View All Stocks

About This Valuation

Why does Amazon.com Inc. have a Beer Score of 58?
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) scores 58 because the stock is currently trading roughly 73% above its estimated intrinsic value of $115. With $55B in annual free cash flow and $638B in revenue, the company's fundamentals partially justify the current market price of $198.79 per share. The Beer Score reflects that 58% of the price is backed by estimated fundamental value.
Is AMZN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our DCF model, Amazon.com Inc. appears moderately overvalued. The estimated intrinsic value of $115 compared to the current price of $198.79 carries a 42% speculation premium. This is a model-based estimate using 10.0% WACC and 18% projected growth — not a buy or sell recommendation. The actual fair value depends on assumptions that may change with new earnings data or market conditions.
What assumptions drive the $115 intrinsic value?
The DCF model uses a 10.0% weighted average cost of capital and projects 18% annual revenue growth over five years. Terminal growth is set at 3%. Starting from $55B in current free cash flow, these assumptions produce an estimated intrinsic value of $115 per share. The model is most sensitive to the growth rate and WACC inputs — small changes in either significantly alter the output.
What could change Amazon.com Inc.'s Beer Score?
Amazon's score could shift with AWS growth trends. A slowdown in enterprise cloud migration would pressure the highest-margin business unit. Retail margins remain thin and vulnerable to labor cost inflation. Increasing AI infrastructure capex could compress near-term free cash flow. Conversely, advertising revenue growth and AWS AI services could push intrinsic value higher.

Compare Similar Stocks

GOOGL65 MSFT46 META44 AAPL51
View all stock valuations →