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Apple Inc. — Beer Score

AAPL · US Equity · Tech — Consumer Electronics
$225.00
Market Price (indicative) · Feb 8, 2026
↓ Price vs intrinsic
Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.
58
/ 100
Fair Pour — Est. 42% Speculation — Est. 42% Speculation
Updated: Feb 8, 2026 16:30 UTC · Filing: 10-K (Jan 2026) · Model: DCF v1.0
Not investment advice · Model-based estimate
Estimated Value (Beer)
$130.00
58%
Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)
$95.00
42%
🍺 58% Est. Fundamental Value 🫧 42% Est. Speculation
Track Score Alerts (Pro) See Model Assumptions ↓

Key Financials

TTM
Revenue$395B
Net Income$97B
Free Cash Flow$108B
P/E Ratio35.0x
EPS (TTM)$6.42
Market Cap$3.5T
Total Debt$97B
Cash & Equiv.$30B

DCF Valuation

Model Estimate
$130
Est. intrinsic value (DCF model)
vs $225 market price
Our model suggests the current price is ~73% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.
WACC9.0%
Growth Rate (5yr)8%
Terminal Growth3%
Margin of Safety-73%

Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth, margins). This is not a price target or investment recommendation.

Score History — 90 Days

Pro
90d Low
43
90d High
70
Zone Changes
2

Apple Inc. Stock Valuation Analysis — Beer Score Breakdown

Apple Inc.'s Beer Score of 58 means that, according to our DCF model, more than half of its current $225 stock price is supported by the company's existing fundamentals — revenue, earnings, free cash flow, and assets. The remaining 42% represents an estimated premium the market places on future growth expectations.

Investors buying at this level are betting that future earnings will grow fast enough to close the gap between price and our model estimated intrinsic value.

How Beer Score Is Calculated for AAPL

We pull Apple Inc.'s latest 10-K and 10-Q filings from SEC EDGAR, run a DCF analysis using a 9.0% WACC and 8% revenue growth rate over 5 years with 3% terminal growth, then compare the resulting model estimate ($130) against the current market price ($225). The Beer Score of 58 represents the ratio: $130 ÷ $225 = 58%. Model output varies with assumptions. Learn more about our methodology →

Important Information

Beer Score is an educational indicator, not investment advice. It measures the model-estimated gap between a stock's current market price and an estimated intrinsic value derived from public financial data. A low Beer Score does not mean "sell" and a high score does not mean "buy." Past Beer Score patterns do not predict future price movements. Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth rate, terminal growth, margins).

Prices shown are indicative reference prices for educational purposes only and are not sourced from an official exchange feed. Data sources include SEC EDGAR filings (10-K and 10-Q), indicative market price data, and proprietary DCF models. Scores update daily after market close. For the full ranking of all stocks, visit the Beer Score Heatmap or read Today's Foam Report.

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About This Valuation

Why does Apple Inc. have a Beer Score of 51?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) scores 51 because the stock is currently trading roughly 97% above its estimated intrinsic value of $130. With $108B in annual free cash flow and $395B in revenue, the company's fundamentals partially justify the current market price of $255.78 per share. The Beer Score reflects that 51% of the price is backed by estimated fundamental value.
Is AAPL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our DCF model, Apple Inc. appears moderately overvalued. The estimated intrinsic value of $130 compared to the current price of $255.78 carries a 49% speculation premium. This is a model-based estimate using 9.0% WACC and 8% projected growth — not a buy or sell recommendation. The actual fair value depends on assumptions that may change with new earnings data or market conditions.
What assumptions drive the $130 intrinsic value?
The DCF model uses a 9.0% weighted average cost of capital and projects 8% annual revenue growth over five years. Terminal growth is set at 3%. Starting from $108B in current free cash flow, these assumptions produce an estimated intrinsic value of $130 per share. The model is most sensitive to the growth rate and WACC inputs — small changes in either significantly alter the output.
What could change Apple Inc.'s Beer Score?
Apple faces several valuation risks. China accounts for roughly 19% of revenue, and geopolitical tensions could disrupt supply chains or market access. iPhone revenue concentration means any slowdown in upgrade cycles directly impacts cash flow. Regulatory pressure on App Store commissions in the EU and US could reduce Services margins, which currently drive the premium multiple.

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