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SMCI

Super Micro Computer Inc. — Beer Score

SMCI · US Equity · Technology — AI Infrastructure
$42.00
Market Price (indicative) · Mar 2026
↓ Price vs intrinsic
Reference price only. Not an official exchange feed.
90
/ 100
Pure Beer — Est. 10% Speculation
Updated: Mar 2026 · Model: DCF v1.0
Not investment advice · Model-based estimate
Estimated Value (Beer)
$38.00
90%
Est. Speculation Premium (Foam)
$4.00
10%
🍺 90% Est. Fundamental Value 🫧 10% Est. Speculation
Track Score Alerts (Pro) See Model Assumptions ↓

Key Financials

TTM
Revenue$22B
Net Income$1B
Free Cash Flow$2B
P/E Ratio14.0x
EPS (TTM)$2.90
Market Cap$25B
Total Debt$2B
Cash & Equiv.$2B

DCF Valuation

Model Estimate
$38
Est. intrinsic value (DCF model)
vs $42.00 market price
Our model suggests the current price is ~11% above the estimated intrinsic value. The market may be pricing in growth beyond current fundamentals.
WACC9.5%
Growth Rate (5yr)15%
Terminal Growth3%
Margin of Safety-11%

Model output varies with assumptions. This is not a price target or investment recommendation.

Score History — 90 Days

Pro
90d Low
72
90d High
100
Zone Changes
2

Super Micro Computer Inc. Stock Valuation Analysis — Beer Score Breakdown

Super Micro Computer Inc.'s Beer Score of 90 means that, according to our DCF model, more than half of its current $42.00 stock price is supported by the company's existing fundamentals — revenue, earnings, free cash flow, and assets. The remaining 10% represents an estimated premium the market places on future growth expectations.

Investors buying at this level are betting that future earnings will grow fast enough to close the gap between price and our model estimated intrinsic value.

How Beer Score Is Calculated for SMCI

We pull Super Micro Computer Inc.'s latest 10-K and 10-Q filings from SEC EDGAR, run a DCF analysis using a 9.5% WACC and 15% revenue growth rate over 5 years with 3% terminal growth, then compare the resulting model estimate ($38) against the current market price ($42.00). The Beer Score of 90 represents the ratio: $38 ÷ $42.00 = 90%. Model output varies with assumptions. Learn more about our methodology →

Important Information

Beer Score is an educational indicator, not investment advice. It measures the model-estimated gap between a stock's current market price and an estimated intrinsic value derived from public financial data. A low Beer Score does not mean "sell" and a high score does not mean "buy." Past Beer Score patterns do not predict future price movements. Model output varies with assumptions (WACC, growth rate, terminal growth, margins).

Prices shown are indicative reference prices for educational purposes only and are not sourced from an official exchange feed. Data sources include SEC EDGAR filings (10-K and 10-Q), indicative market price data, and proprietary DCF models. Scores update daily after market close. For the full ranking of all stocks, visit the Beer Score Heatmap or read Today's Foam Report.

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About This Valuation

Why does Super Micro Computer Inc. have a Beer Score of 90?
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) scores 90 because the stock is currently trading roughly 11% above its estimated intrinsic value of $38. The Beer Score reflects that 90% of the price is backed by estimated fundamental value.
Is SMCI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on our DCF model, Super Micro Computer Inc. appears overvalued. The estimated intrinsic value of $38 compared to the current price of $42.00 carries a 10% speculation premium. This is a model-based estimate using 9.5% WACC — not a buy or sell recommendation.
What assumptions drive the $38 intrinsic value estimate?
The DCF model uses a 9.5% weighted average cost of capital and projects 15% annual revenue growth over five years. Terminal growth is set at 3%. The model is most sensitive to the growth rate and WACC inputs — small changes in either significantly alter the output.

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